Republican 2020 Battle Plan for the House

By Anonymous -
Here is the Republican 2020 congressional battle plan. There are 51 Democrats on this hit list that Republicans intend to vigorously contest.  The results for the Trump/Clinton election for each district are provided as an indication of the potential boost that a presidential ticket could provide.

So the question is whether the Republicans could take back the House in 2020? Even if Trump gets a 3% boost over 2016, it is unlikely that Republicans will scrape up enough votes to have a solid majority. It is most likely that House of Representatives will be closely split such that a handful of moderates could hijack the agenda. Alternatively it could also end up stalemated unable to even pass a budget.

The next Democrat House still appears to be a California driven House with Trump unlikely to be helpful to recover those lost neocon Orange County districts. Expect the remaining Democrats to be even more radical in leadership as moderate Democrats take most of the losses. Do watch for an upset in Minnesota but not in Ilmar Omar’s 5th District. Expect Minnesota 5th to be an unlikely tough race that will still go to Omar. The fall out though will instead end up in Dean Phillips’ lap in the Minnesota 3rd District as every other Republican in Minnesota runs against Omar.

Long time moderate Democrat Matt Cartwright and newcomer Conor Lamb got a bad deal with the redistricting. Normally I would be donating money to these guys but they have been doing nothing for western Pennsylvania. I’m expecting both of the new districts along with Democrat Susan Wild’s 7th district to go to Republicans.

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